Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2.942974 3.398450 3.898312 4.487226 5.161743 5.909842 6.802199
2025-01-26 2.353714 2.960994 3.683290 4.604333 5.746289 7.114383 8.876745
2025-02-02 2.009768 2.724402 3.635970 4.880781 6.533191 8.648033 11.557070
2025-02-09 1.684506 2.442603 3.472373 4.967579 7.076902 9.939520 14.112325
2025-02-16 1.423439 2.194541 3.303492 5.005549 7.541949 11.170012 16.740140
2025-02-23 1.176900 1.920517 3.047867 4.868946 7.722724 12.005851 18.900183
2025-03-02 0.962947 1.656969 2.762104 4.634109 7.707465 12.529270 20.635745
2025-03-09 0.842218 1.521466 2.652799 4.654053 8.081703 13.679985 23.469628
2025-03-16 0.719368 1.361245 2.477049 4.533719 8.200299 14.420384 25.707920
2025-03-23 0.674523 1.331251 2.517943 4.788080 8.983965 16.348762 30.164988
2025-03-30 0.621052 1.276253 2.504926 4.940367 9.599395 18.046566 34.400997
2025-04-06 0.554893 1.186091 2.413245 4.931018 9.910773 19.226677 37.819973
2025-04-13 0.467210 1.041454 2.201548 4.670450 9.728868 19.510102 39.668026
2025-04-20 0.436967 1.012090 2.215321 4.862713 10.463287 21.622014 45.294757
2025-04-27 0.422132 1.013862 2.293454 5.198701 11.532792 24.512955 52.808146
2025-05-04 0.390119 0.971742 2.271852 5.317910 12.161786 26.585038 58.887008
2025-05-11 0.356994 0.921566 2.225155 5.374563 12.661153 28.441543 64.722468
2025-05-18 0.314850 0.842533 2.101299 5.237507 12.709626 29.338263 68.583082
2025-05-25 0.271721 0.753600 1.940902 4.990720 12.470967 29.570908 70.982383
2025-06-01 0.249220 0.714420 1.895350 5.015251 12.874190 31.287927 76.946863
2025-06-08 0.221463 0.656459 1.794529 4.887683 12.891348 32.114432 80.924002
2025-06-15 0.215614 0.658305 1.847752 5.162318 13.943850 35.498743 91.378623
2025-06-22 0.205012 0.644840 1.858611 5.326772 14.735071 38.335714 100.802057